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Saint Etienne — Montpellier
Ligue 2

Saint Etienne - Montpellier 05.09.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Saint Etienne Saint Etienne
W
W
W
W
W
Finished
3
1
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1st half 1:1
2nd half 2:0
05.09.2026 21:00
Montpellier Montpellier
W
D
W
W
D
Ligue 2
2026 | France
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Saint Etienne
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Saint Etienne
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Montpellier
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Saint Etienne
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · Montpellier
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Saint Etienne and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Saint Etienne
0%
Montpellier
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.05 2.8
Avg. corners per match 9.67 9.53
Avg. yellow cards per match 2.67 3.73
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Saint Etienne will face Montpellier 05.09.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is A. Taleb. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 5.45 on an away win - Montpellier.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.62
Average CLV
Agreement
100%
Which team has more corners: 2 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -22%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Saint Etienne - Montpellier 05.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
158% from average (1.9)
3
1
56% from average (1.8)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
83% from average (54.33)
45%
55%
104% from average (53.07)
Corners
97% from average (5.17)
5
4
74% from average (5.4)
Yellow cards
80% from average (1.25)
1
2
111% from average (1.8)
92% from average (3.25)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
143% from average (12.58)
18
21
121% from average (17.33)
160% from average (24.41)
Shots on goal
103% from average (13.58)
14
6
51% from average (11.87)
Shots on target
97% from average (5.17)
5
3
63% from average (4.8)
Shots off target
86% from average (5.83)
5
1
23% from average (4.27)
Blocked shots
155% from average (2.58)
4
2
71% from average (2.8)
Shots from inside the box
100% from average (8)
8
4
50% from average (8.07)
Shots from outside the box
108% from average (5.58)
6
2
52% from average (3.87)
Passes
91% from average (472.67)
431
525
124% from average (424.33)
Successful passes
89% from average (408.08)
364
466
133% from average (351.27)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.42)
0
0
0% from average (1.83)
Saves
88% from average (2.27)
2
2
56% from average (3.6)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
41’
Maxime Bernauer
1
:
0
Yellow Card
42’
Zoumana Camara
Yellow Card
45’
Augustine Boakye
Goal
45’+5’
Daylam Meddah
1
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Goal
49’
Augustine Boakye
2
:
1
Substitution
58’
Ben Old
Maxime Bernauer
Yellow Card
59’
Naoufel El Hannach
Yellow Card
59’
Naoufel El Hannach
Yellow Card
59’
I. Cathro
Yellow Card
59’
I. Cathro
Yellow Card
60’
I. Cathro
Substitution
64’
Joshua Duffus
Thierno Ballo
Substitution
65’
Mahmoud Jaber
Zuriko Davitashvili
Yellow Card
67’
Daylam Meddah
Substitution
70’
Jérémy Hatchi
Hichem Abderrebi
Goal
71’
Joshua Duffus
3
:
1
Substitution
71’
Théo Chennahi
Naoufel El Hannach
Substitution
76’
Jakob Breum
Augustine Boakye
Substitution
77’
João Ferreira
Kevin Pedro
Substitution
79’
Grégory Ayem
Daylam Meddah
Substitution
79’
Mamadou Camara
Laciné Megnan Pave
Substitution
84’
Noah Vidal
Nicolas Pays
Match Completed
3
:
1
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Saint Etienne
7 I. Cardona
8 T. Ballo
22 Z. Davitashvili
20 A. Boakye
14 Á. Csongvai
16 T. Svetlin
6 M. Bernauer
18 S. Nair
26 J. Le Cardinal
23 K. Pedro
30 G. Larsonneur
Formation · 4-1-4-1 Montpellier
9 Lacine Megnan-Pave
19 N. Mukiele
5 F. Tardieu
18 N. Pays
32 Hichem Abderrebi
27 D. Meddah
17 T. Sainte-Luce
6 Y. Mouanga
15 J. Laporte
3 Y. El Hannach
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu

Starting lineups

#
Player
30
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
1
+3
16
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+3
20
~
1
1
+4
22
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+4
7
~
~
~
+4
#
Player
31
~
~
~
+2
3
~
1
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+1
32
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
+3
27
~
1
1
+4
19
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
31
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
1
+3
1
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+2
#
Player
90
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
+1
39
~
~
~
+3
1
~
~
~
~
77
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
+1

These are the odds for the match Saint Etienne - Montpellier 05.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
2
2nd half 9
4
Result 14
6
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Saint Etienne
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Montpellier
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Saint Etienne - Montpellier 05.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Saint Etienne and Montpellier before the match 05.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Saint Etienne - Montpellier 05.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works