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Rodez — PAU
Ligue 2

Rodez - PAU 28.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Rodez Rodez
Position: 4 (+8)
D
L
W
L
W
Finished
2
2
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1st half 1:2
2nd half 1:0
28.08.2026 21:00
PAU PAU
Position: 12 (-8)
L
L
L
W
L
Ligue 2
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | France
Stade Paul-Lignon
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Rodez
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Rodez
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
PAU
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Rodez
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · PAU
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Rodez
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Rodez
0%
PAU
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.2 2.9
Avg. corners per match 10.55 7.92
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.8 3.69
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Rodez - PAU, the match will take place 28.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Faouzi Benchabane, France. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 7 seasons the teams face each other.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.81
Average CLV
-2.16%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -5.8%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -5.5%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Rodez - PAU 28.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
103% from average (1.95)
2
2
211% from average (0.95)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
138% from average (42.09)
58%
42%
84% from average (50.15)
Corners
90% from average (5.55)
5
3
80% from average (3.77)
Yellow cards
150% from average (2)
3
1
48% from average (2.08)
100% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
163% from average (12.91)
21
8
68% from average (11.69)
95% from average (30.4)
Shots on goal
77% from average (13)
10
14
133% from average (10.54)
Shots on target
122% from average (4.09)
5
2
65% from average (3.08)
Shots off target
85% from average (5.91)
5
11
251% from average (4.38)
Blocked shots
0% from average (3)
0
1
32% from average (3.08)
Shots from inside the box
68% from average (8.82)
6
7
115% from average (6.08)
Shots from outside the box
96% from average (4.18)
4
7
157% from average (4.46)
Passes
148% from average (332.18)
490
370
83% from average (447.85)
Successful passes
157% from average (257.45)
403
278
74% from average (373.92)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (77.27)
82%
75%
91% from average (82.85)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (3.36)
0
0
0% from average (2.08)
Saves
0% from average (3.27)
0
3
95% from average (3.15)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
2’
B. Leye
0
:
1
Yellow Card
3’
Raphaël Lipinski
Goal
28’
I. Balde
1
:
1
Yellow Card
31’
T. Debes
Goal
37’
B. Leye
1
:
2
Yellow Card
45’+3’
H. Benali
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Hacene Benali
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Substitution
59’
S. Basse
A. Abdallah
Substitution
59’
A. Lefebvre
B. Leye
Substitution
59’
A. Lefebvre
B. Leye
Substitution
59’
S. Basse
A. Abdallah
Substitution
64’
L. Gadegbeku
L. Rajot
Substitution
64’
L. Gadegbeku
L. Rajot
Substitution
64’
L. Gadegbeku
L. Rajot
Substitution
64’
L. Gadegbeku
L. Rajot
Substitution
64’
K. Nagera
M. Touho
Substitution
64’
E. Jean-Lambert
R. Ponti
Substitution
64’
S. Luyambula
C. Issanchou
Substitution
64’
E. Jean-Lambert
R. Ponti
Substitution
64’
S. Luyambula
C. Issanchou
Substitution
64’
S. Luyambula
C. Issanchou
Substitution
64’
K. Nagera
M. Touho
Substitution
64’
E. Jean-Lambert
R. Ponti
Substitution
64’
K. Nagera
M. Touho
Substitution
68’
G. Paquiez
A. Briancon
Substitution
68’
A. Mbaye
H. Benali
Substitution
68’
A. Mbaye
H. Benali
Substitution
68’
G. Paquiez
A. Briancon
Yellow Card
70’
L. Laurent
Yellow Card
70’
Loni Laurent
Yellow Card
71’
L. Laurent
Substitution
72’
O. Joly
D. Pavlovic
Goal
83’
O. Joly
2
:
2
Substitution
85’
N. Nsingi
L. Laurent
Yellow Card
89’
M. Magnin
Yellow Card
89’
Mathis Magnin
Match Completed
2
:
2
Formation · 6-4-2 Rodez
11 M. Touho
18 I. Balde
29 Antonin Cartillier
29 A. Cartillier
8 D. Pavlovic
6 J. Mendes
20 R. Ponti
3 R. Lipinski
4 M. Magnin
24 Loni Laurent
24 L. Laurent
13 C. Issanchou
16 L. Margueron
Formation · 5-3-2 PAU
9 B. Leye
7 H. Benali
5 L. Rajot
21 J. Benet
6 C. Fall
97 A. Abdallah
23 A. Briancon
88 A. Bamba
4 A. Dodote
2 T. Pouilly
1 B. Maubleu

Starting lineups

#
Player
16
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
+3
24
~
1
~
+2
4
~
1
~
+2
3
~
1
~
+3
20
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
+3
29
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
1
+4
11
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
~
29
A. Cartillier
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+3
88
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+2
97
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
+4
5
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
2
+4
7
~
1
~
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
1
+3
26
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
~
#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
39
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+1
56
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
10
2nd half 5
4
Result 10
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Rodez
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
PAU
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Rodez - PAU 28.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Rodez and PAU before the match 28.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Rodez - PAU 28.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works