Montpellier - Boulogne 28.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Montpellier or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Montpellier
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Boulogne
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Montpellier
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Boulogne
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Montpellier or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Montpellier
100%
Boulogne
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.85
1.85
Avg. corners per match
9.6
8.82
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.67
3.36
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Montpellier: In 13 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Montpellier: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Montpellier: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Montpellier: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Montpellier - Boulogne, match from 28.08.2026. The referee will be Pierre Gaillouste, France. Ligue 2 - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.27
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +12.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.8)
0
0
0% from average (0.75)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
131% from average (51.8)
68%
32%
65% from average (49.18)
Corners
131% from average (5.33)
7
1
30% from average (3.36)
Yellow cards
107% from average (1.87)
2
3
194% from average (1.55)
100% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
79% from average (17.67)
14
20
141% from average (14.18)
148% from average (23)
Shots on goal
106% from average (11.33)
12
13
156% from average (8.36)
Shots on target
134% from average (4.47)
6
8
275% from average (2.91)
Shots off target
121% from average (4.13)
5
3
85% from average (3.55)
Blocked shots
36% from average (2.8)
1
2
100% from average (2)
Shots from inside the box
118% from average (7.6)
9
8
163% from average (4.91)
Shots from outside the box
79% from average (3.8)
3
5
145% from average (3.45)
Passes
139% from average (413.33)
575
280
70% from average (401)
Successful passes
141% from average (341.47)
481
181
60% from average (304.09)
Pass accuracy
103% from average (81.93)
84%
65%
88% from average (74.27)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2)
0
2
78% from average (2.55)
Saves
256% from average (3.13)
8
6
207% from average (2.9)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
20’
Benjamin Besic
Yellow Card
23’
Florian Tardieu
29’
Yellow Card
41’
Naoufel El Hannach
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
51’
Théo Brusco
Substitution
60’
G. Ayem
N. Vidal-Cartoux
Substitution
61’
Y. Issoufou
N. Mukiele
Substitution
63’
A. Nassiri
A. Platret
Substitution
63’
J. Martin
J. Bultel
Substitution
63’
J. Martin
J. Bultel
Substitution
63’
A. Nassiri
A. Platret
Substitution
74’
N. Fatar
B. Besic
Substitution
74’
M. Soumah
T. Epailly
Substitution
74’
M. Soumah
T. Epailly
Substitution
74’
N. Fatar
B. Besic
Yellow Card
80’
Théo Brusco
Red Card
80’
Théo Brusco
Substitution
83’
A. Pinot
M. Soumah
Substitution
83’
A. Pinot
Substitution
90’+2’
D. Benlahlou
N. El Hannach
Match Completed
0
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Montpellier
9
L. Megnan-Pave
19
N. Mukiele
40
N. Vidal-Cartoux
18
N. Pays
32
H. Abderrebi
5
F. Tardieu
17
T. Sainte-Luce
27
D. Meddah
15
J. Laporte
3
N. El Hannach
31
S. Ngapandouetnbu
Formation · 5-3-2
Boulogne
17
B. Besic
10
A. Hbouch
64
T. Epailly
19
N. Binet
14
J. Bultel
12
J. Boyer
20
T. Brusco
25
A. Kerriou
18
D. Thiam
21
A. Platret
99
B. Noukeu
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
5
5
2nd half
7
8
Result
12
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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Montpellier
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
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Loss
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Boulogne
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Montpellier - Boulogne 28.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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10
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Montpellier and Boulogne before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Montpellier - Boulogne 28.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works