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Arda Kardzhali — Botev Plovdiv
First League

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv 04.09.2026 21:15: score, statistics, forecasts

Finished
2
3
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1st half 0:2
2nd half 2:1
04.09.2026 21:15
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
W
W
L
L
L
First League
Regular Season - 8 | 2026 | Bulgaria
Arena Arda
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Arda Kardzhali
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Arda Kardzhali
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Botev Plovdiv
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Arda Kardzhali
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Botev Plovdiv
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Arda Kardzhali
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Arda Kardzhali
93%
Botev Plovdiv
7%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.25 2.9
Avg. corners per match 9 5
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.5 6.33
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
04.09.2026 Arda Kardzhali plays away against Botev Plovdiv. We haven't received information about the match referee yet. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 7 last seasons. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Arda Kardzhali the odds are just 2.11.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.31
Average CLV
+2.17%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +2%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -5.5%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv 04.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
167% from average (1.2)
2
3
171% from average (1.75)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.93)
0
0
0% from average (0.54)
Possession
97% from average (58)
56%
44%
88% from average (50)
Corners
88% from average (8)
7
2
50% from average (4)
Yellow cards
200% from average (1.5)
3
1
30% from average (3.33)
67% from average (6)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
0% from average (12)
0
0
0% from average (9)
0% from average (26)
Shots on goal
133% from average (15)
20
9
113% from average (8)
Shots on target
450% from average (2)
9
5
250% from average (2)
Shots off target
275% from average (4)
11
4
200% from average (2)
Blocked shots
0% from average (9)
0
0
0% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
0% from average (8)
0
0
0% from average (3)
Shots from outside the box
0% from average (7)
0
0
0% from average (5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (3)
0
0
0% from average (1)
Saves
0% from average (2)
0
0
0% from average (4)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
20’
samuil tsonov
0
:
1
Goal
36’
samuil tsonov
0
:
2
Yellow Card
43’
Lachezar Kotev
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
2
Substitution
46’
williams chimezie
Carlos Meotti
Goal
52’
Asen Chandarov
0
:
3
Substitution
52’
David idowu
Dominik Yankov
Substitution
61’
Atanas Kabov
Birsent Karagaren
Substitution
61’
Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
Preslav·Bachev
Substitution
61’
Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
Preslav·Bachev
Substitution
61’
Atanas Kabov
Birsent Karagaren
Yellow Card
63’
Vyacheslav Velev
Substitution
64’
mascote
samuil tsonov
Substitution
74’
Henrique Jocu
Asen Chandarov
Substitution
74’
Dimitar Tonev
williams chimezie
Substitution
74’
Dimitar Tonev
williams chimezie
Substitution
74’
Henrique Jocu
Asen Chandarov
Substitution
75’
Dimitar Tonev
Samuel Kalu
Goal
79’
Vyacheslav Velev
1
:
3
Substitution
80’
Antonio Vutov
Stanislav Ivanov
Goal
83’
Antonio Vutov
2
:
3
Substitution
84’
Bogdan Kostov
Mauro Rodrigues
Yellow Card
85’
Dimitar Tonev
Substitution
85’
Bogdan Kostov
Mauro Rodrigues
Yellow Card
89’
Svetoslav Kovachev
Yellow Card
89’
Viktor Popov
Match Completed
2
:
3
Formation · 4-1-4-1 Arda Kardzhali
16 P. Bachev
99 B. Karagaren
91 S. Ivanov
8 D. Yankov
10 S. Kovachev
80 L. Kotev
21 V. Velev
5 V. Lyubenov
44 Adama Ardile Traoré
6 V. Popov
1 A. Gospodinov
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Botev Plovdiv
13 S. Tsonov
90 S. Kalu
19 Mauro Rodrigues
66 C. Meotti
10 A. Chandarov
77 Lucas Araújo
27 B. Hein
4 N. Soldo
87 S. Petrov
82 V. Mendes
29 D. Naumov

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
80
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
91
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
#
Player
29
~
~
~
~
82
V. Mendes
~
~
~
~
87
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
77
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
66
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
90
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
39
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
9
G. Nikolov
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
#
Player
88
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv 04.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 7
5
2nd half 13
4
Result 20
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Arda Kardzhali
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Botev Plovdiv
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Arda Kardzhali and Botev Plovdiv before the match 04.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv 04.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works