CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna 30.08.2026 21:15: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
CSKA Sofia
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
CSKA Sofia
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Cherno More Varna
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · CSKA Sofia
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · Cherno More Varna
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : CSKA Sofia and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
CSKA Sofia
87%
Cherno More Varna
13%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.55
2.6
Avg. corners per match
7.33
7.33
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.57
4.25
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓CSKA Sofia: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓CSKA Sofia: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓CSKA Sofia: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓CSKA Sofia: Judging by recent matches, CSKA Sofia" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Cherno More Varna will play away against CSKA Sofia 30.08.2026. The referee will be Gero Piskov, Bulgaria. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The most likely outcome is a win for CSKA Sofia, judging by the odds of 1.46.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.91
Average CLV
+0.68%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.1%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -13.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
200% from average (1.5)
3
1
95% from average (1.05)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (0.89)
Possession
0% from average (54)
0%
0%
0% from average (49.67)
Corners
0% from average (4.33)
0
0
0% from average (3)
Yellow cards
127% from average (3.14)
4
4
160% from average (2.5)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
0% from average (14.33)
0
0
0% from average (14.67)
- from average (0)
Shots on goal
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (10.67)
Shots on target
0% from average (6.33)
0
0
0% from average (3.33)
Shots off target
0% from average (4.67)
0
0
0% from average (5)
Blocked shots
0% from average (4.67)
0
0
0% from average (2)
Shots from inside the box
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (5.33)
Shots from outside the box
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (5.33)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (0.33)
0
0
0% from average (1)
Saves
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
12’
Mohamed Amine Brahimi
Goal
20’
S. Sensi
1
:0
Yellow Card
28’
Ventsislav Kerchev
Yellow Card
29’
V. Kerchev
Goal
30’
J. Zwarts
2
:0
Goal
39’
C. Sidney
2
:1
Goal
40’
C. Sidney
2
:2
Yellow Card
43’
Luciano Squadrone
Yellow Card
44’
L. Squadrone
Yellow Card
45’+3’
D. Teles
Yellow Card
45’+3’
David Teles
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:2
Yellow Card
48’
Facundo Rodríguez
Yellow Card
49’
Zhivko Atanasov
Yellow Card
52’
F. Lapoukhov
Yellow Card
52’
Fedor Lapoukhov
Substitution
62’
Pastor
M. Brahimi
Substitution
62’
J. Eto'o
I. Solet
Substitution
67’
J. Padilla
G. Lazarov
Substitution
67’
J. Padilla
G. Lazarov
Substitution
74’
M. Barandas
M. Achi
Substitution
74’
Joao Bandaro
A. Donchev
Substitution
75’
Joao Bandaro
A. Donchev
Substitution
75’
M. Barandas
M. Achi
Substitution
76’
L. Godoy
I. Pittas
Yellow Card
78’
Petko Panayotov
Goal
86’
L. Godoy
3
:2
Substitution
87’
P. Andreev
V. Kerchev
Substitution
87’
I. Bounaas
D. Teles
Substitution
89’
B. Jordao
P. Panayotov
Substitution
89’
B. Jordao
P. Panayotov
Match Completed
3
:1
Formation · 4-1-3-2
CSKA Sofia
28
I. Pittas
10
J. Zwarts
7
M. Ebong
8
S. Sensi
11
M. Brahimi
30
P. Panayotov
19
A. Yordanov
32
F. Rodriguez
94
I. Solet
5
J. Gbamin
21
Fedor Lapoukhov
21
F. Lapoukhov
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Cherno More Varna
19
G. Lazarov
10
C. Sidney
11
M. Achi
8
A. Donchev
24
D. Teles
71
V. Panayotov
37
V. Kerchev
5
L. Squadrone
3
Z. Atanasov
50
E. Tombak
31
D. Hristov
Starting lineups
#
Player
21
F. Lapoukhov
~
~
~
~
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
99
J. Eto'o
~
~
~
~
#
Player
13
E. Nyagolov
~
~
~
~
93
Georgi Ventsislavov
~
~
~
~
99
I. Bounaas
~
~
~
~
7
M. Barandas
~
~
~
~
53
M. Banev
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna 30.08.2026
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Statistics by half
1st half
-
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2nd half
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Result
4
4
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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CSKA Sofia
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Cherno More Varna
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna 30.08.2026
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 goals
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1x2 corners
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings CSKA Sofia and Cherno More Varna before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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Possession and style
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna 30.08.2026
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