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Necaxa — Cruz Azul
Liga MX

Necaxa - Cruz Azul 29.08.2026 04:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Necaxa Necaxa
L
L
W
L
D
Finished
1
3
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1st half 0:1
2nd half 1:2
29.08.2026 04:00
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
W
W
L
L
L
Liga MX
Apertura - 6 | 2026 | Mexico
Estadio Victoria
xG 0.44 1.91
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Cruz Azul or draw
Most likely outcome — Cruz Azul (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Necaxa
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Cruz Azul
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Necaxa
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Cruz Azul
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Necaxa
53%
Cruz Azul
47%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.55 3.1
Avg. corners per match 9.8 10.07
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.47 4.43
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Necaxa will face Cruz Azul 29.08.2026 as the home team. This match will be officiated by I. Rosario. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.67
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +16.2%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Necaxa - Cruz Azul 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
80% from average (1.25)
1
3
171% from average (1.75)
Expected goals (xG)
31% from average (1.42)
0.44
1.91
114% from average (1.68)
Possession
91% from average (50.8)
46%
54%
96% from average (56.27)
Corners
133% from average (5.27)
7
7
115% from average (6.07)
Yellow cards
198% from average (2.53)
5
2
97% from average (2.07)
163% from average (4.29)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
113% from average (13.27)
15
14
128% from average (10.93)
138% from average (21)
Shots on goal
95% from average (13.73)
13
22
120% from average (18.4)
Shots on target
82% from average (4.87)
4
8
124% from average (6.47)
Shots off target
88% from average (5.67)
5
10
153% from average (6.53)
Blocked shots
125% from average (3.2)
4
4
74% from average (5.4)
Shots from inside the box
26% from average (7.73)
2
8
81% from average (9.87)
Shots from outside the box
183% from average (6)
11
14
164% from average (8.53)
Passes
99% from average (408.4)
403
478
105% from average (455.33)
Successful passes
97% from average (341.67)
333
396
104% from average (382.53)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (83.13)
83%
83%
99% from average (83.53)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.23)
0
1
54% from average (1.86)
Saves
153% from average (3.27)
5
3
125% from average (2.4)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
23’
J. Marquez
0
:
1
Substitution
32’
M. Zaleta
C. Vargas
Yellow Card
43’
Danny Leyva
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Goal
46’
N. Ibanez
0
:
2
Substitution
46’
R. Martinez
Naves
Substitution
46’
J. P. Torres Patino
M. Espindola
Goal
53’
W. Ditta
0
:
3
Yellow Card
54’
Willer Ditta
Yellow Card
59’
Amaury Garcia
Substitution
61’
P. Pedraza
L. Faravelli
Substitution
61’
E. Rodriguez
O. Gonzalez
Yellow Card
67’
Javier Ruiz
Substitution
73’
L. Romero
J. Marquez
Substitution
73’
J. Rodarte
R. Gonzalez
Substitution
73’
G. Fernandez
N. Ibanez
Substitution
73’
J. Rodarte
R. Gonzalez
Substitution
73’
G. Fernandez
N. Ibanez
Substitution
73’
L. Romero
J. Marquez
Substitution
78’
R. Cortez
D. Leyva
Goal
83’
E. Rodriguez
1
:
3
Yellow Card
84’
Emilio Rodriguez
Substitution
84’
C. Ebere
J. Paradela
Substitution
84’
A. Montes
A. Garcia
Substitution
84’
A. Montes
A. Garcia
Substitution
84’
C. Ebere
J. Paradela
Substitution
86’
J. Diaz
O. Campos
Yellow Card
90’+4’
P. Pedraza
Yellow Card
90’+4’
J. P. Torres Patino
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Juan Torres
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Pedro Pedraza
Match Completed
1
:
3
Formation · 3-5-2 Necaxa
10 J. Ruiz
9 J. Carranza
88 C. Vargas
8 L. Faravelli
6 D. Leyva
21 M. Espindola
13 O. Gonzalez
3 A. Oliveros
4 A. Pena
5 Naves
12 L. Jimenez
Formation · 5-4-1 Cruz Azul
7 N. Ibanez
19 C. Rodriguez
16 J. Marquez
8 A. Palavecino
20 J. Paradela
3 O. Campos
5 J. Orozco
17 A. Garcia
4 W. Ditta
55 R. Gonzalez
23 K. Mier

Starting lineups

#
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
~
6
~
1
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+1
88
~
~
~
+2
13
~
~
~
+2
10
~
1
~
+3
9
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
23
~
~
~
+2
4
~
1
1
+4
5
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+3
17
~
1
~
+2
55
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
1
+3
8
~
~
~
+4
20
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
1
+4

Substitutions

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+2
99
~
1
1
+3
11
~
1
~
~
14
~
~
~
+3
16
~
1
~
+2
90
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
70
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
+2
49
~
~
~
~
22
J. Rodarte
~
~
~
~
70
I. Silva
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
10
2nd half 10
12
Result 13
22
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Necaxa
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Cruz Azul
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Necaxa - Cruz Azul 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Necaxa and Cruz Azul before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Necaxa - Cruz Azul 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works