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Atalanta — Bologna
Serie A

Atalanta - Bologna 31.08.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts

Atalanta Atalanta
Position: 5 (+10)
W
W
D
W
W
Finished
1
0
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 1:0
31.08.2026 21:45
Bologna Bologna
Position: 15 (-10)
W
W
L
L
L
Serie A
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Italy
xG 0.15 1.05
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Atalanta
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Atalanta
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Bologna
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Atalanta
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Atalanta and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Atalanta
0%
Bologna
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.75 2.8
Avg. corners per match 8.43 8.67
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.27 3.5
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Bologna will play away against Atalanta 31.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Daniele Doveri, Italy. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 6 last seasons. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 4.07 on an away win - Bologna.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.95
Average CLV
-0.51%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -5.5%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Atalanta - Bologna 31.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
71% from average (1.4)
1
0
0% from average (1.2)
Expected goals (xG)
10% from average (1.49)
0.15
1.05
96% from average (1.09)
Possession
77% from average (54.5)
42%
58%
110% from average (52.92)
Corners
23% from average (4.43)
1
2
46% from average (4.33)
Yellow cards
74% from average (1.36)
1
0
0% from average (1.83)
24% from average (4.25)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
87% from average (11.43)
10
13
96% from average (13.58)
92% from average (25)
Shots on goal
40% from average (14.86)
6
16
130% from average (12.33)
Shots on target
41% from average (4.86)
2
3
72% from average (4.17)
Shots off target
32% from average (6.21)
2
10
193% from average (5.17)
Blocked shots
53% from average (3.79)
2
3
100% from average (3)
Shots from inside the box
30% from average (10.07)
3
10
130% from average (7.67)
Shots from outside the box
63% from average (4.79)
3
6
128% from average (4.67)
Passes
90% from average (528.79)
478
683
149% from average (459.33)
Successful passes
89% from average (457.14)
407
620
161% from average (386)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (85.79)
85%
91%
109% from average (83.83)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.67)
0
4
229% from average (1.75)
Saves
108% from average (2.79)
3
1
50% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
55’
N. Zalewski
C. De Ketelaere
Substitution
56’
E. Elmas
G. Raspadori
Substitution
60’
R. Orsolini
J. Odgaard
Substitution
60’
A. Dovbyk
R. Piccoli
Yellow Card
61’
D. Tedesco
Substitution
68’
N. Krstovic
G. Scamacca
Substitution
68’
L. Samardzic
Ederson
Substitution
68’
L. Samardzic
Ederson
Substitution
68’
N. Krstovic
G. Scamacca
Substitution
72’
N. Zortea
E. Holm
Substitution
72’
M. Amondarain
T. Pobega
Yellow Card
73’
Nikola Krstović
Yellow Card
73’
N. Krstovic
Substitution
78’
R. Bellanova
S. Kolasinac
Substitution
80’
N. Moro
R. Orsolini
Substitution
80’
N. Moro
Goal
90’
L. Samardzic
1
:
0
Goal
90’+6’
L. Samardzic
2
:
0
Match Completed
1
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Atalanta
IH
I. Hien
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
KS
K. Sulemana
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
TK
T. Kristensen
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
IS
I. Sulemana
Knee Injury
In doubt
HA
H. Ahanor
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
Bologna
NC
N. Casale
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
JR
J. Rowe
Inactive
Definitely will not play
OE
O. El Azzouzi
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-3-3 Atalanta
18 G. Raspadori
9 G. Scamacca
17 C. De Ketelaere
13 Ederson
70 G. Gaetano
8 M. Pasalic
23 S. Kolasinac
42 G. Scalvini
3 O. Kossounou
77 D. Zappacosta
29 M. Carnesecchi
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Bologna
91 R. Piccoli
28 N. Cambiaghi
21 J. Odgaard
10 F. Bernardeschi
19 L. Ferguson
4 T. Pobega
23 R. Alhassane
14 T. Heggem
5 E. Fauske Helland
2 E. Holm
1 L. Skorupski

Starting lineups

#
Player
29
~
~
~
+1
77
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+1
42
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
~
70
~
~
~
+2
13
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+4
18
~
~
~
+1
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
+2
28
~
~
~
+4
91
~
~
~
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
57
~
~
~
~
95
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
1
+2
99
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
+1
59
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
47
~
~
~
~
90
~
1
~
~
#
Player
25
~
~
~
~
72
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+3

These are the odds for the match Atalanta - Bologna 31.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
8
2nd half 3
8
Result 6
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Atalanta
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Bologna
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Atalanta - Bologna 31.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Atalanta and Bologna before the match 31.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Atalanta - Bologna 31.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works