Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
AC Milan
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
AC Milan
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Venezia
0%
Totals prediction
Total · AC Milan
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : AC Milan
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
AC Milan
0%
Venezia
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.55
3.65
Avg. corners per match
7.36
10.46
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.93
3.23
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑AC Milan: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓AC Milan: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓AC Milan: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 1
↓AC Milan: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Venezia will play away against AC Milan 28.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Gianluca Manganiello, Italy. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 2 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.77
Average CLV
+1.72%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.8%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
148% from average (1.35)
2
0
0% from average (2.65)
Expected goals (xG)
145% from average (1.52)
2.21
0.8
37% from average (2.19)
Possession
111% from average (52.43)
58%
42%
62% from average (67.31)
Corners
55% from average (3.64)
2
3
52% from average (5.77)
Yellow cards
56% from average (1.79)
1
3
278% from average (1.08)
120% from average (3.33)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
71% from average (11.21)
8
11
79% from average (13.92)
64% from average (29.86)
Shots on goal
129% from average (12.43)
16
9
49% from average (18.46)
Shots on target
135% from average (3.71)
5
2
29% from average (6.85)
Shots off target
155% from average (5.79)
9
3
46% from average (6.54)
Blocked shots
68% from average (2.93)
2
4
79% from average (5.08)
Shots from inside the box
118% from average (9.29)
11
7
59% from average (11.92)
Shots from outside the box
159% from average (3.14)
5
2
31% from average (6.54)
Passes
105% from average (482.14)
508
363
67% from average (539.23)
Successful passes
105% from average (423.07)
444
301
64% from average (471.08)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (87.21)
87%
83%
96% from average (86.85)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
54% from average (1.86)
1
4
320% from average (1.25)
Saves
72% from average (2.79)
2
4
200% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
27’
Joel Schingtienne
Yellow Card
28’
J. Schingtienne
Substitution
45’+3’
R. Halhal
B. Franjic
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
48’
Kike Pérez
Yellow Card
54’
Ridgeciano Haps
Yellow Card
55’
R. Haps
Substitution
59’
A. Saelemaekers
R. Loftus-Cheek
Substitution
59’
A. Rabiot
A. Cisse
Substitution
60’
A. Rabiot
A. Cisse
Substitution
65’
S. Sohm
T. Basic
Substitution
66’
T. Correia
R. Haps
Substitution
66’
S. Sohm
T. Basic
Substitution
66’
T. Correia
R. Haps
Goal
69’
G. Ramos
1
:0
Yellow Card
71’
Strahinja Pavlović
Substitution
74’
A. Jashari
L. Modric
Substitution
75’
A. Jashari
L. Modric
Substitution
79’
L. Lauberbach
J. Yeboah
Substitution
80’
A. Rrahmani
K. Perez
Substitution
80’
L. Lauberbach
J. Yeboah
Substitution
87’
P. Estupinan
D. Bartesaghi
Substitution
87’
M. Gabbia
M. Gila
Own goal
89’
R. Halhal
2
:0
Match Completed
2
:0
Injuries and suspensions
AC Milan
FT
Definitely will not play
F. Tomori
Inactive
RL
Definitely will not play
R. Leao
Muscle Injury
YF
Definitely will not play
Y. Fofana
Inactive
SG
In doubt
S. Gimenez
Ankle Injury
Venezia
AA
Definitely will not play
A. Adorante
Hernia
MS
Definitely will not play
M. Sverko
Hip Injury
MM
Definitely will not play
M. Moreno
Health problems
Formation · 3-4-2-1
AC Milan
9
G. Ramos
70
A. Cisse
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
33
D. Bartesaghi
14
L. Modric
80
Y. Musah
21
S. Chukwueze
31
S. Pavlovic
5
K. De Winter
34
M. Gila
16
M. Maignan
Formation · 3-5-2
Venezia
45
A. Adams
10
J. Yeboah
5
R. Haps
26
T. Basic
6
G. Busio
71
K. Perez
18
A. Hainaut
4
B. Franjic
17
A. Bella-Kotchap
3
J. Schingtienne
1
F. Stankovic
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
8
3
2nd half
8
6
Result
16
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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50
All
AC Milan
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Venezia
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics AC Milan - Venezia 28.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings AC Milan and Venezia before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match AC Milan - Venezia 28.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works