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UCV Moquegua — Alianza Atletico
Primera División

UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico 30.08.2026 19:00: score, statistics, forecasts

UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
D
L
D
W
L
Finished
1
4
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1st half 1:1
2nd half 0:3
30.08.2026 19:00
Primera División
Clausura - 7 | 2026 | Peru
Estadio 25 de Noviembre
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Alianza Atletico or draw
Most likely outcome — Alianza Atletico (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
UCV Moquegua
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Alianza Atletico
45%
Totals prediction
Total · UCV Moquegua
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Alianza Atletico
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Alianza Atletico
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
UCV Moquegua
59%
Alianza Atletico
41%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.05 2.75
Avg. corners per match 7.94 8.47
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.06 4.33
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico, the match will take place 30.08.2026. The referee will be Edwin Ordonez, Peru. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season. The most likely outcome is a win for UCV Moquegua, judging by the odds of 2.53.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.14
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -9.9%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -5.2%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
100% from average (1)
1
4
286% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.3)
0
0
0% from average (1.16)
Possession
133% from average (39.94)
53%
47%
100% from average (46.8)
Corners
170% from average (2.94)
5
4
122% from average (3.27)
Yellow cards
44% from average (2.25)
1
3
121% from average (2.47)
87% from average (4.59)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
103% from average (11.69)
12
14
128% from average (10.93)
109% from average (23.85)
Shots on goal
87% from average (10.31)
9
19
157% from average (12.13)
Shots on target
87% from average (3.44)
3
6
143% from average (4.2)
Shots off target
61% from average (4.94)
3
7
130% from average (5.4)
Blocked shots
155% from average (1.94)
3
6
237% from average (2.53)
Shots from inside the box
110% from average (5.44)
6
10
146% from average (6.86)
Shots from outside the box
61% from average (4.88)
3
9
164% from average (5.5)
Passes
130% from average (268.06)
348
299
94% from average (318.21)
Successful passes
146% from average (191.88)
281
241
99% from average (243.93)
Pass accuracy
115% from average (70.44)
81%
81%
107% from average (75.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
61% from average (1.63)
1
2
140% from average (1.43)
Saves
57% from average (3.5)
2
2
70% from average (2.86)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
12’
José Ingratti
Goal
20’
Bryan Angulo
1
:
0
Goal
24’
J. Molina
1
:
1
Yellow Card
33’
Diego Ramírez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Substitution
46’
N. Chavez
D. Ramirez
Yellow Card
49’
Román Suárez
Yellow Card
51’
Ariel Muñoz
Goal
56’
J. Lujan
1
:
2
Substitution
59’
G. A. Larios Saavedra
J. Ingratti
Substitution
59’
Y. Lopez
R. Chipao
Goal
61’
C. Penilla
1
:
3
Goal
65’
Bryan Angulo
2
:
3
Red Card
68’
Yorman Zapata
Substitution
76’
J. Perez
A. Munoz
Substitution
76’
J. del Castillo
C. Penilla
Substitution
81’
A. Davila
Bryan Angulo
Substitution
81’
J. Jimenez
E. Montenegro
Substitution
81’
J. Jimenez
E. Montenegro
Substitution
81’
A. Davila
Bryan Angulo
Substitution
83’
V. Robaldo
J. Molina
Substitution
83’
F. Flores
H. Lupu
Substitution
83’
F. Flores
H. Lupu
Substitution
83’
V. Robaldo
J. Molina
Goal
90’
J. del Castillo
2
:
4
Goal
90’+1’
J. del Castillo
2
:
5
Match Completed
1
:
4
Formation · 6-2-3-1 UCV Moquegua
11 Bryan Angulo
17 Y. Zapata
8 C. Mejia
7 E. Lastre
25 R. Chipao
20 D. Ramirez
4 A. Perleche
3 Cristian Enciso
3 C. Enciso
13 Juan Diego Lojas
13 J. Lojas
22 E. Montenegro
1 C. Grados
Formation · 4-4-2 Alianza Atletico
29 J. Molina
27 J. Ingratti
17 C. Penilla
15 H. Lupu
10 G. Diaz
23 A. Munoz
24 A. Gordillo
6 J. Lujan
2 R. Suarez
16 S. Fernandez
31 S. Rivadeneyra

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
+3
3
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+3
20
~
1
~
+2
25
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+4
8
~
~
~
+2
17
1
~
~
+2
11
~
~
1
+3
13
J. Lojas
~
~
~
~
3
C. Enciso
~
~
~
~
#
Player
31
~
~
~
+1
2
~
1
~
+2
6
~
~
1
+2
24
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
+3
23
~
1
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+3
15
~
~
~
+3
17
~
~
1
+2
27
~
1
~
+2
29
~
~
1
+5

Substitutions

#
Player
29
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
~
88
~
~
~
+1
35
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
10
N. Chavez
~
~
~
~
14
C. Ramirez
~
~
~
~
35
E. M. Santillan Vargas
~
~
~
~
#
Player
95
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
1
+4
37
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+4
37
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 4
10
2nd half 5
9
Result 9
19
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
UCV Moquegua
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Alianza Atletico
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings UCV Moquegua and Alianza Atletico before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match UCV Moquegua - Alianza Atletico 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works