Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Vila Nova or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Vila Nova
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Ceara
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Vila Nova
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Ceara
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Vila Nova or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Vila Nova
72%
Ceara
28%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.3
2.3
Avg. corners per match
10.61
10.06
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.28
4.72
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Vila Nova: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↑Vila Nova: In 16 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Vila Nova: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓Vila Nova: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Vila Nova - Ceara, the match will take place 31.08.2026. The referee will be Leonardo Willers Lorenzatto, Brazil. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2026. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Vila Nova the odds are just 1.92.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.96
Average CLV
-1.01%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
148% from average (1.35)
2
0
0% from average (0.95)
Expected goals (xG)
182% from average (1)
1.82
0.39
39% from average (0.99)
Possession
87% from average (52.83)
46%
54%
101% from average (53.67)
Corners
93% from average (5.39)
5
7
116% from average (6.06)
Yellow cards
97% from average (2.06)
2
3
135% from average (2.22)
125% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
127% from average (14.17)
18
10
66% from average (15.11)
122% from average (23)
Shots on goal
120% from average (13.33)
16
7
50% from average (13.94)
Shots on target
175% from average (4)
7
3
74% from average (4.06)
Shots off target
121% from average (4.94)
6
4
73% from average (5.5)
Blocked shots
68% from average (4.44)
3
0
0% from average (4.39)
Shots from inside the box
156% from average (6.39)
10
5
63% from average (7.88)
Shots from outside the box
86% from average (6.94)
6
2
31% from average (6.47)
Passes
77% from average (382.83)
293
334
87% from average (381.94)
Successful passes
78% from average (308.06)
241
265
85% from average (310.35)
Pass accuracy
103% from average (79.33)
82%
79%
99% from average (79.53)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
64% from average (1.56)
1
1
82% from average (1.22)
Saves
98% from average (3.06)
3
5
180% from average (2.78)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
16’
Breno Augusto
1
:0
Substitution
45’+2’
Willian Formiga
Breno Augusto
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
Vinicius Zanocelo
Richardson
Substitution
46’
Matheus Araujo
Lucas Mugni
Substitution
46’
Matheus Araujo
Lucas Mugni
Substitution
46’
Vinicius Zanocelo
Richardson
Yellow Card
53’
Dudu Dos Santos
Yellow Card
54’
Júlio César
Substitution
71’
Vina
Julio Cesar
Substitution
72’
Vina
Julio Cesar
Substitution
72’
Lenny Lobato
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Substitution
73’
Dodo
Marquinhos Gabriel
Substitution
73’
Emerson Urso
Everton Galdino
Goal
75’
Andre Luis
2
:0
Yellow Card
78’
João Vieira
Yellow Card
79’
Joao Vieira
Substitution
79’
Willian Maranhao
Dudu
Substitution
79’
Nathan Camargo
Joao Vieira
Substitution
80’
Nathan Camargo
Joao Vieira
Substitution
84’
Aloisio
Enzo Lodovico
Yellow Card
90’
Vinicius Zanocelo
Yellow Card
90’
Richard
Yellow Card
90’
Richard
Yellow Card
90’
Vinicius Zanocelo
Match Completed
2
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Vila Nova
7
Andre Luis
99
Janderson
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
17
Everton Galdino
15
Dudu
5
Joao Vieira
6
Higor
23
Breno Augusto
3
Tiago Pagnussat
22
Hayner
1
Helton Leite
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Ceara
99
Lucca
20
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
11
Lucas Mugni
60
Enzo Lodovico
81
Joao Gabriel
26
Richardson
12
Sanchez
71
Gabriel Rocha
4
Luiz Otavio
18
Julio Cesar
1
Richard
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Vila Nova - Ceara 31.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
11
3
2nd half
5
4
Result
16
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Vila Nova
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Ceara
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Vila Nova - Ceara 31.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Vila Nova and Ceara before the match 31.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Vila Nova - Ceara 31.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works