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Independiente del Valle — Universidad Catolica
Liga Pro

Independiente del Valle - Universidad Catolica 29.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Finished
2
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 2:2
29.08.2026 21:00
Liga Pro
Regular Season - 27 | 2026 | Ecuador
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Independiente del Valle or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Independiente del Valle
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Universidad Catolica
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Independiente del Valle
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Universidad Catolica
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Independiente del Valle
66%
Universidad Catolica
34%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.55 2.85
Avg. corners per match 10.07 8.67
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.29 4.36
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Independiente del Valle 29.08.2026 will host the away team - Universidad Catolica. This match will be officiated by Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.37
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -18.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Independiente del Valle - Universidad Catolica 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
71% from average (2.8)
2
2
118% from average (1.7)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (2.33)
0
0
0% from average (1.55)
Possession
89% from average (56.43)
50%
50%
87% from average (57.73)
Corners
76% from average (6.57)
5
2
43% from average (4.67)
Yellow cards
58% from average (1.71)
1
1
56% from average (1.79)
51% from average (3.95)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
109% from average (7.33)
8
12
121% from average (9.93)
83% from average (24.1)
Shots on goal
82% from average (18.2)
15
18
122% from average (14.8)
Shots on target
40% from average (7.47)
3
7
144% from average (4.87)
Shots off target
157% from average (7)
11
5
74% from average (6.8)
Blocked shots
27% from average (3.73)
1
6
192% from average (3.13)
Shots from inside the box
95% from average (10.53)
10
8
96% from average (8.33)
Shots from outside the box
65% from average (7.67)
5
10
155% from average (6.47)
Passes
85% from average (450)
384
404
92% from average (439.73)
Successful passes
84% from average (389.36)
326
358
96% from average (372.87)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (85.57)
85%
89%
106% from average (84)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.23)
0
3
300% from average (1)
Saves
305% from average (1.64)
5
1
36% from average (2.8)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
45’
Mateo Carabajal
Richard Schunke
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
Mateo Carabajal
Richard Schunke
Goal
51’
Ronald Briones
1
:
0
Goal
56’
Juan Riquelme Angulo
2
:
0
Goal
57’
Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
3
:
0
Goal
61’
Mauricio Alonso
3
:
1
Goal
62’
Azarias Londoño
3
:
2
Substitution
62’
Luis Moreno
Emiliano Clavijo
Yellow Card
66’
Facundo Martinez
Substitution
67’
Arón Rodríguez
Matías Perello
Substitution
67’
Carlos González
Djorkaeff Reasco
Substitution
67’
Junior Sornoza
Youri Ochoa
Substitution
67’
Junior Sornoza
Youri ochoa
Substitution
67’
A. Rodriguez
M. Perello
Substitution
67’
Aron Rodríguez
Matias Mijail Perello
Substitution
67’
Carlos González
Djorkaeff Reascos
Substitution
67’
C. Gonzalez
D. Reasco
Substitution
67’
J. Sornoza
Y. Ochoa
Substitution
76’
Hugo Quintana
Ronald Briones
Substitution
78’
Eric Valencia
Mauricio Alonso
Substitution
83’
Jimmy Evans
Eddy Mejía
Yellow Card
90’
Jhegson Méndez
Match Completed
2
:
2
Formation · 4-1-4-1 Independiente del Valle
99 Djorkaeff Reasco
11 Matías Perello
8 Youri Ochoa
16 Ronald Briones
50 Juan Riquelme Angulo
32 Jhegson Méndez
15 Gustavo Cortez
23 Juan Viacava
5 Richard Schunke
4 Jhon Espinoza
1 Aldair Quintana
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Universidad Catolica
7 José Fajardo
32 Mauricio Alonso
28 Mauro Díaz
9 Azarias Londoño
10 Facundo Martinez
8 Emiliano Clavijo
30 Eddy Mejía
4 Jhon Chancellor
33 Luis Cangá
24 Darwin Nazareno
12 Johan Lara

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+1
32
~
1
~
+2
50
~
~
1
+5
8
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+3
16
~
~
1
+3
99
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
+2
33
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+1
30
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+3
10
~
1
~
+3
9
~
~
1
+2
28
~
~
~
+3
32
~
~
1
+3
7
~
~
~
+4

Substitutions

#
Player
10
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
70
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
+1
57
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+2
33
~
~
~
~
52
~
~
~
~
#
Player
29
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
37
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 10
6
2nd half 5
12
Result 15
18
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Independiente del Valle
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Universidad Catolica
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Independiente del Valle - Universidad Catolica 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Independiente del Valle and Universidad Catolica before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Independiente del Valle - Universidad Catolica 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works