Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Molde or draw
Most likely outcome — Molde (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Valerenga
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Molde
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Valerenga
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Molde
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Molde and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Valerenga
53%
Molde
47%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
4.15
4.05
Avg. corners per match
12.17
10.17
Avg. yellow cards per match
2.82
3.67
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Valerenga: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓Valerenga: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 10 goals is scored
↓Valerenga: In 14 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Valerenga: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Valerenga - Molde, match from 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Christian Moen, Norway. Eliteserien - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 6 last seasons. Judging by the odds of 2.73 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.77
Average CLV
-3.15%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
150% from average (2)
3
4
167% from average (2.4)
Expected goals (xG)
115% from average (1.58)
1.82
1.73
90% from average (1.93)
Possession
98% from average (50)
49%
51%
87% from average (58.33)
Corners
72% from average (6.92)
5
2
35% from average (5.67)
Yellow cards
157% from average (1.91)
3
2
92% from average (2.17)
160% from average (3.13)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
84% from average (11.92)
10
9
78% from average (11.58)
101% from average (18.76)
Shots on goal
128% from average (16.42)
21
14
92% from average (15.17)
Shots on target
81% from average (6.17)
5
9
159% from average (5.67)
Shots off target
115% from average (6.08)
7
4
62% from average (6.5)
Blocked shots
216% from average (4.17)
9
1
33% from average (3)
Shots from inside the box
121% from average (10.75)
13
11
98% from average (11.17)
Shots from outside the box
141% from average (5.67)
8
3
74% from average (4.08)
Passes
108% from average (453.25)
488
506
90% from average (559.33)
Successful passes
106% from average (368.42)
390
418
87% from average (479.25)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (80.25)
80%
83%
97% from average (85.33)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
58% from average (1.73)
1
2
127% from average (1.58)
Saves
143% from average (3.5)
5
2
89% from average (2.25)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
-5’
Ivan Näsberg
Goal
11’
E. Hestad
0
:1
Goal
19’
L. Haren
1
:1
Goal
21’
M. Grundetjern
2
:1
Substitution
29’
C. Zady
E. Hestad
Goal
30’
S. Granaas
2
:2
Goal
40’
J. Abdullai
2
:3
Goal
45’
C. Lange
3
:3
Goal
45’
C. Zady
3
:4
Goal
45’
C. Zady
3
:5
Goal
45’+3’
C. Lange
4
:5
Goal
45’+3’
C. Lange
5
:5
The match has continued - the second half is underway
5
:5
Substitution
55’
P. Strand
G. Rajkovic
Substitution
61’
V. Bender
M. Linnes
Substitution
61’
M. Daehli
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Substitution
61’
M. Daehli
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Substitution
61’
V. Bender
M. Linnes
Yellow Card
70’
E. Breivik
Yellow Card
70’
Emil Breivik
Yellow Card
75’
A. Olsen
Yellow Card
75’
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Yellow Card
76’
S. Granaas
Yellow Card
76’
Sondre Milian Granaas
Substitution
77’
O. Saeter
L. Haren
Substitution
77’
G. Zahid
M. Westergaard
Substitution
77’
K. Tshiembe
I. Nasberg
Substitution
77’
K. Tshiembe
I. Nasberg
Substitution
77’
O. Saeter
L. Haren
Yellow Card
78’
M. Grundetjern
Yellow Card
78’
Mathias Grundetjern
Substitution
78’
K. Tshiembe
I. Nasberg
Yellow Card
79’
M. Grundetjern
Yellow Card
79’
I. Nasberg
Substitution
80’
N. Odegard
S. Granaas
Substitution
80’
T. Kone-Doherty
J. Abdullai
Substitution
81’
T. Kone-Doherty
J. Abdullai
Substitution
88’
O. T. Holm
C. Lange
Match Completed
3
:4
Injuries and suspensions
Valerenga
MO
Definitely will not play
M. Ofkir
Inactive
MS
In doubt
M. Sjoeng
Knee Injury
FA
Definitely will not play
F. Ambina
Muscle Injury
Molde
VH
Definitely will not play
V. Hoff
Knee Injury
HS
Definitely will not play
H. Stenevik
Injury
MK
Definitely will not play
M. Kikkenborg
Achilles Tendon Injury
FD
Definitely will not play
F. Dahl
Knee Injury
SD
Definitely will not play
S. Diop
Inactive
Formation · 4-4-2
Valerenga
17
M. Grundetjern
9
G. Rajkovic
77
L. Haren
28
M. Westergaard
10
C. Lange
8
H. Bjordal
2
K. Finnsson
37
I. Nasberg
4
A. Olsen
3
H. Sjatil
1
O. Hedvall
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Molde
9
J. Abdullai
21
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
23
S. Granaas
5
E. Hestad
30
D. Daga
10
E. Breivik
26
S. Kabini
33
B. Risa
4
S. Hansen
25
M. Linnes
22
A. Posiadala
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
13
A. A. Lonning S.
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Valerenga - Molde 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
14
9
2nd half
7
5
Result
21
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Valerenga
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Molde
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Valerenga - Molde 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Valerenga and Molde before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Valerenga - Molde 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works