Lillestrom - Fredrikstad 30.08.2026 20:15: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Fredrikstad or draw
Most likely outcome — Fredrikstad (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Lillestrom
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fredrikstad
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Lillestrom
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Fredrikstad
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Fredrikstad
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Lillestrom
71%
Fredrikstad
29%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.45
2.75
Avg. corners per match
10.93
9.58
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.14
3.45
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Lillestrom: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↑Lillestrom: In 8 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Lillestrom: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Lillestrom: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Lillestrom will face Fredrikstad 30.08.2026 as the home team. The referee will be Tore Hansen, Norway. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Eliteserien, NM Cupen, Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2021, 2024, 2025, 2026. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Lillestrom the odds are just 1.75.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.10
Average CLV
+10.5%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +40.4%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
83% from average (1.2)
1
4
296% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
160% from average (1.46)
2.34
3.11
324% from average (0.96)
Possession
105% from average (51.6)
54%
46%
98% from average (47.08)
Corners
185% from average (5.4)
10
3
84% from average (3.58)
Yellow cards
122% from average (1.64)
2
1
61% from average (1.64)
76% from average (3.94)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
83% from average (12.07)
10
8
77% from average (10.42)
84% from average (21.32)
Shots on goal
149% from average (12.08)
18
13
119% from average (10.92)
Shots on target
142% from average (3.53)
5
9
235% from average (3.83)
Shots off target
185% from average (4.33)
8
3
67% from average (4.5)
Blocked shots
129% from average (3.87)
5
1
39% from average (2.58)
Shots from inside the box
139% from average (8.62)
12
8
116% from average (6.92)
Shots from outside the box
173% from average (3.46)
6
5
125% from average (4)
Passes
106% from average (495.08)
523
458
101% from average (455)
Successful passes
104% from average (405.31)
423
362
99% from average (365.17)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (81.54)
81%
79%
100% from average (79.25)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
388% from average (1.29)
5
1
50% from average (2)
Saves
130% from average (3.85)
5
4
117% from average (3.42)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
8’
S. Owusu
0
:1
Yellow Card
17’
Frederik Elkær
Penalty
18’
M. Nilsson
0
:2
Penalty
37’
F. Gulbrandsen
1
:2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:2
Substitution
46’
D. Bassi
F. Elkaer
Yellow Card
53’
Benjamin Faraas
Yellow Card
54’
B. Faraas
Substitution
59’
J. Jezierski
S. Leach
Substitution
59’
G. Wesseh
S. Laghzaoui
Substitution
59’
F. Ghebreyohannes
D. Eid
Substitution
59’
F. Ghebreyohannes
S. Sorlokk
Substitution
59’
F. Ghebreyohannes
S. Sorlokk
Substitution
59’
J. Jezierski
S. Leach
Substitution
59’
G. Wesseh
S. Laghzaoui
Substitution
64’
T. Olsen
F. Gulbrandsen
Goal
65’
B. Faraas
1
:3
Substitution
66’
S. Rafn
S. Owusu
Substitution
67’
S. Rafn
S. Owusu
Substitution
72’
H. Woxen
E. Kitolano
Goal
79’
B. Faraas
1
:4
Substitution
83’
U. Fredriksen
I. Amundsen
Yellow Card
86’
Harald Woxen
Match Completed
1
:4
Injuries and suspensions
Lillestrom
RG
In doubt
R. Gabrielsen
Injury
CJ
Definitely will not play
C. Jebara
Injury
LA
In doubt
L. Alperud
Injury
GN
Definitely will not play
G. Nyheim
Yellow Cards
Fredrikstad
SR
In doubt
S. Rafn
Injury
SK
Definitely will not play
S. Kvile
Knee Injury
KO
Definitely will not play
K. Okpaleke
Injury
JN
Definitely will not play
J. Nysveen
Injury
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Lillestrom
8
F. Gulbrandsen
20
Felix Va
17
E. Kitolano
16
H. Melland
26
Y. Paintsil
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
11
F. Elkaer
47
S. Kristiansen
4
E. B. Garnas
3
S. Ottesen
12
P. Dahlberg
Formation · 3-4-3
Fredrikstad
9
S. Laghzaoui
23
H. Skogvold
7
B. Faraas
13
S. Sorlokk
14
M. Nilsson
6
S. Leach
16
D. Eid
28
S. Owusu
4
F. Holme
38
I. Amundsen
77
M. Borsheim
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Lillestrom - Fredrikstad 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
6
2nd half
12
7
Result
18
13
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Possession and style
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Lillestrom
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Fredrikstad
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Lillestrom - Fredrikstad 30.08.2026
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Lillestrom and Fredrikstad before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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Possession and style
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Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Lillestrom - Fredrikstad 30.08.2026
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