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Gimnasia M. — Boca Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M. - Boca Juniors 05.09.2026 22:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
W
L
W
W
W
Finished
2
2
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1st half 1:2
2nd half 1:0
05.09.2026 22:30
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
D
W
D
W
W
Liga Profesional Argentina
2026 | Argentina
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Gimnasia M. or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Gimnasia M.
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Boca Juniors
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Gimnasia M.
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Boca Juniors
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Gimnasia M. or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Gimnasia M.
48%
Boca Juniors
52%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.3 2.05
Avg. corners per match 8.25 9.88
Avg. yellow cards per match 5.27 4.88
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Gimnasia M. will face Boca Juniors 05.09.2026 as the home team. We don't yet know who will be the referee. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors have so far played each other in only one season, so there isn't much data for match analysis. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Boca Juniors - the odds for it are just 2.44.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.73
Average CLV
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -5.8%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Gimnasia M. - Boca Juniors 05.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
167% from average (1.2)
2
2
174% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.09)
0
0
0% from average (1.73)
Possession
131% from average (45)
59%
41%
69% from average (59.63)
Corners
136% from average (3.69)
5
6
89% from average (6.75)
Yellow cards
40% from average (2.53)
1
4
200% from average (2)
125% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
48% from average (12.56)
6
8
88% from average (9.13)
58% from average (24.25)
Shots on goal
142% from average (12)
17
12
65% from average (18.44)
Shots on target
169% from average (4.13)
7
6
117% from average (5.13)
Shots off target
158% from average (5.06)
8
3
36% from average (8.38)
Blocked shots
68% from average (2.94)
2
3
60% from average (5)
Shots from inside the box
182% from average (6.06)
11
9
86% from average (10.5)
Shots from outside the box
101% from average (5.94)
6
3
38% from average (7.94)
Passes
138% from average (325.25)
450
325
64% from average (508.44)
Successful passes
148% from average (245.38)
364
238
56% from average (428.69)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
94% from average (1.06)
1
1
56% from average (1.77)
Saves
123% from average (3.25)
4
5
222% from average (2.25)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
6’
Kevin Zenon
Goal
17’
Alan Velasco
0
:
1
Goal
19’
I. Charparin
1
:
1
Substitution
20’
Matías Vargas
Tomás O'Connor
Yellow Card
37’
Luciano César Cingolani
Goal
38’
Kevin Zenon
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Yellow Card
57’
Jorge Nicolás Figal
Substitution
59’
Carlos Palacios
Alan Velasco
Yellow Card
61’
Darío Javier Franco Gatti
Yellow Card
65’
Carlos Palacios
Substitution
68’
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
Marco Pellegrino
Substitution
68’
Lautaro Blanco
Matías Satas
Substitution
68’
Lautaro Blanco
Matías Satas
Substitution
68’
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
Marco Pellegrino
Yellow Card
70’
Lautaro Blanco
Goal
71’
I. Charparin
2
:
2
Substitution
78’
Williams Alarcón
Tomás Belmonte
Substitution
78’
Lautaro Di Lollo
Kevin Zenon
Substitution
78’
Lautaro Di Lollo
Kevin Zenon
Substitution
78’
Williams Alarcón
Tomás Belmonte
Substitution
80’
Ismael Cortéz
Luciano Paredes
Substitution
80’
Nahuel Barboza
Fermin Antonini
Substitution
80’
Nahuel Barboza
Fermin Antonini
Substitution
80’
Ismael Cortéz
Luciano Paredes
Substitution
81’
Valentino Simoni
Luciano César Cingolani
Substitution
90’+1’
Brian Andrada
Diego Mondino
Goal
90’+3’
Esteban Fernández
3
:
2
Match Completed
2
:
2
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Gimnasia M.
17 I. Sabatini
26 F. Lencioni
30 E. Fernández
7 L. Cingolani
28 T. O'Connor
21 F. Antonini
3 M. Recalde
4 E. Muñoz
2 D. Mondino
32 L. Paredes
23 C. Rigamonti
Formation · 4-3-3 Boca Juniors
19 L. Flores
13 E. Valencia
20 A. Velasco
21 K. Zenón
23 C. Rey
8 T. Belmonte
46 M. Satas
26 Marco Pellegrino
4 N. Figal
24 D. Gorosito
1 Á. Montero

Starting lineups

#
Player
23
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+2
32
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+2
7
~
1
~
+4
28
~
~
~
+2
26
~
~
~
+4
30
~
~
1
+2
17
~
~
1
+3
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
4
~
1
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
+2
46
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
21
~
1
1
+3
23
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
1
+3
13
~
~
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
33
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
16
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+1
36
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
#
Player
5
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
7
~
1
~
+1
9
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
3
~
1
~
+1
2
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Gimnasia M. - Boca Juniors 05.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 10
9
2nd half 7
3
Result 17
12
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Gimnasia M.
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Boca Juniors
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors before the match 05.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Gimnasia M. - Boca Juniors 05.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works