Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Atletico-MG
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Atletico-MG
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Vitoria
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Atletico-MG
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Vitoria
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Atletico-MG
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Atletico-MG
79%
Vitoria
21%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.1
2.75
Avg. corners per match
9.36
9.5
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.29
4.54
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Atletico-MG: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↑Atletico-MG: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Atletico-MG: In 19 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Atletico-MG: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Atletico-MG 30.08.2026 will host the away team - Vitoria. The referee will be Edina Alves Batista, Brazil. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2024, 2025, 2026.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.25
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +12.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
148% from average (1.35)
2
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
107% from average (1.36)
1.46
0.64
79% from average (0.81)
Possession
127% from average (47.86)
61%
39%
81% from average (47.86)
Corners
95% from average (4.21)
4
5
106% from average (4.71)
Yellow cards
87% from average (2.29)
2
1
48% from average (2.08)
51% from average (5.93)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
102% from average (11.79)
12
13
117% from average (11.14)
99% from average (25.2)
Shots on goal
165% from average (10.93)
18
14
115% from average (12.14)
Shots on target
207% from average (3.86)
8
3
75% from average (4)
Shots off target
125% from average (4.79)
6
4
80% from average (5)
Blocked shots
175% from average (2.29)
4
7
223% from average (3.14)
Shots from inside the box
162% from average (7.43)
12
7
97% from average (7.21)
Shots from outside the box
171% from average (3.5)
6
7
142% from average (4.93)
Passes
153% from average (415.71)
636
387
104% from average (371.07)
Successful passes
168% from average (344.36)
579
321
107% from average (299.21)
Pass accuracy
111% from average (81.64)
91%
83%
104% from average (79.57)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
129% from average (1.55)
2
0
0% from average (1.33)
Saves
53% from average (3.79)
2
6
168% from average (3.57)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
25’
T. Borbas
1
:0
Yellow Card
35’
Diego Tarzia
Yellow Card
44’
Ángelo Preciado
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
Matheusinho
E. Britez
Yellow Card
59’
Mamady Cissé
Substitution
60’
Gustavo Scarpa
T. Borbas
Goal
63’
Reinier
2
:0
Substitution
69’
Erick
Emmanuel Martinez
Substitution
69’
Matheuzinho
D. Tarzia
Substitution
69’
Rene
Alex Bruno
Substitution
69’
Rene
Alex Bruno
Substitution
69’
Erick
Emmanuel Martinez
Substitution
69’
Matheuzinho
D. Tarzia
Substitution
69’
Erick
Emmanuel Martinez
Substitution
75’
Dudu
A. Minda
Substitution
81’
Walace
Caique Goncalves
Goal
87’
Erick
2
:1
Substitution
90’
Caua
Reinier
Substitution
90’
Vitor Hugo
Alexsander
Substitution
90’
Vitor Hugo
Alexsander
Substitution
90’
Caua
Reinier
Match Completed
2
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Atletico-MG
GS
In doubt
Gustavo Scarpa
Muscle Injury
IG
Definitely will not play
Igor Gomes
Knee Injury
E
Definitely will not play
Everson
Inactive
LD
Definitely will not play
L. Duarte
Hamstring Injury
L
Definitely will not play
Lyanco
Foot Injury
RT
Definitely will not play
Ruan Tressoldi
Injury
VH
In doubt
Victor Hugo
Muscle Injury
PS
Definitely will not play
Patrick Silva
Knee Injury
I
Definitely will not play
Indio
Knee Injury
Vitoria
B
Definitely will not play
Baralhas
Inactive
C
Definitely will not play
Camutanga
Broken Leg
R
Definitely will not play
Riccieli
Calf Injury
E
Definitely will not play
Edu
Achilles Tendon Injury
RR
Definitely will not play
R. Ramos
Knee Injury
D
Definitely will not play
Dudu
Back Injury
NM
Definitely will not play
Nathan Mendes
Knee Injury
A
Definitely will not play
Anderson
Knee Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Atletico-MG
18
T. Borbas
27
A. Minda
19
Reinier
39
M. Cisse
5
Alexsander
25
T. Perez
36
K. Pascini
40
Vitao
2
Natanael
23
A. Preciado
1
Gabriel Delfim
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Vitoria
9
Alex Bruno
12
D. Tarzia
95
Caique Goncalves
8
T. Pochettino
7
Marinho
6
Emmanuel Martinez
83
Jamerson
36
Luan Candido
25
Caca
2
E. Britez
1
Lucas Arcanjo
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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Statistics by half
1st half
8
4
2nd half
10
10
Result
18
14
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Atletico-MG
Across all matches
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Vitoria
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Atletico-MG - Vitoria 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 corners
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Probability from 60 to 100
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Atletico-MG and Vitoria before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Atletico-MG - Vitoria 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works