Roasso Kumamoto — Oita Trinita: Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5 at 1.52 — pick by TheAnalyticD model

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Home / Matches / Roasso Kumamoto — Oita Trinita / Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5

TheAnalyticD model model

ROI -6.4% · 858 picks · since August 2026

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Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita

J-League Cup

Win 02.09 · 13:00

The author’s pick

Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5

Odds

1.52

Bankroll

Confidence

Medium

Result Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.52 = 3 040 → net +1 040 +1 040 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive · no timestamp

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 69.8%, while odds of 1.52 price in 65.8%. Value edge +4.0%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — Pinnacle

opening

1.52

the line when trading opened

publication

1.52

snapshot saved

1.52

CLV 0.00%

The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand

Win

Pick published September 1, 2026 10:00

Publication is closed September 2, 2026 10:00 · at kick-off

Kick-off September 2, 2026 10:00

Result settled from the match result

+1040 Upside if it wins

-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll

+1 040 Result credited to the bankroll

Pick outcome Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.52 = 3 040 → net +1 040

+1 040 credited to the bankroll

Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest

45.1%

accuracy

-5.7%

ROI

2.20

average odds

+0.8%

CLV

TheAnalyticD model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.

02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.

03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.