Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 0.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
82.3%
exp. goals
3.16
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
29.04.26
1:0
Under 2.5
01.03.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
26.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
03.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5