NJ/NY Gotham FC W
vs
Portland Thorns W
Win
29.08 · 03:00
The author’s pick
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
Odds
2.43
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
High
Result
Win
stake 2 000 × odds 2.43 = 4 860 → net +2 860
+2 860
settlement →
Reasoning
retroactive · no timestampComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 47.1%, while odds of 2.43 price in 41.2%. Value edge +5.9%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.
Line snapshot
reference — Pinnacleopening
2.43
the line when trading opened
publication
2.43
snapshot saved
close
2.43
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
August 28, 2026 00:00
Publication is closed
August 29, 2026 00:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
August 29, 2026 00:00
Result settled
from the match result
+2860
Upside
if it wins
-2000
Risk
2% of the bankroll
+2 860
Result
credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome
Win
stake 2 000 × odds 2.43 = 4 860 → net +2 860
+2 860
credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
45.1%
accuracy
-5.7%
ROI
2.20
average odds
+0.8%
CLV
TheAnalyticD model
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.