Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.4%
exp. goals
2.38
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.07.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
27.09.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
23.04.25
1:4
Over 2.5 won
10.11.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won