Sao Paulo
vs
Atletico-MG
Loss
06.09 · 00:30
The author’s pick
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
Odds
1.42
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 2 153 lost · odds of 1.42 did not come in
−2 153
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 19:30 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 72.4%, while odds of 1.42 price in 70.4%. Value edge +2.0%.
Line snapshot
reference — 1xBetopening
1.38
the line when trading opened
publication
1.42
snapshot saved
now
1.42
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 19:30
Publication is closed
Yesterday 21:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 21:30
Result settled
from the match result
+904.73
Upside
if it wins
-2153.27
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−2 153
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 2 153 lost · odds of 1.42 did not come in
−2 153
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
76.5%
accuracy
+10.9%
ROI
1.48
average odds
+1.1%
CLV
TheAnalyticK model
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.