TheAnalyticF model
model
ROI +6.9% · 200 picks · since September 2026
Haukar
vs
Selfoss
2. Deild
Win
05.09 · 17:00
The author’s pick
Match result: 2
Result
Win
stake 1 723 × odds 2.80 = 4 826 → net +3 103
+3 103
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changed
Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 37.0%, while odds of 2.80 price in 35.7%. Value edge +1.3%.
Line snapshot
reference — BetVictor
opening
2.75
the line when trading opened
publication
2.80
snapshot saved
now
2.45
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Win
Pick published
Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed
Yesterday 14:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 14:00
Result settled
from the match result
+3102.57
Upside
if it wins
-1723.43
Risk
2% of the bankroll
+3 103
Result
credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome
Win
stake 1 723 × odds 2.80 = 4 826 → net +3 103
+3 103
credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.