Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.3%
exp. goals
3.42
edge
-13.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.06.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
18.04.25
0:4
Over 2.5 won
26.08.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
24.06.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won