Real Sociedad
vs
Celta Vigo
Win
03.09 · 22:00
The author’s pick
Fouls over/under: Over 25.5
Odds
1.78
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
High
Result
Win
stake 2 000 × odds 1.78 = 3 560 → net +1 560
+1 560
settlement →
Reasoning
retroactiveComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 63.4%, while odds of 1.78 price in 56.2%. Value edge +7.2%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.
Line snapshot
reference — Superbetopening
1.78
the line when trading opened
publication
1.78
snapshot saved
close
1.78
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
September 3, 2026 07:12
Publication is closed
September 3, 2026 19:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
September 3, 2026 19:00
Result settled
from the match result
+1560
Upside
if it wins
-2000
Risk
2% of the bankroll
+1 560
Result
credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome
Win
stake 2 000 × odds 1.78 = 3 560 → net +1 560
+1 560
credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
45.6%
accuracy
-1.4%
ROI
2.28
average odds
+1.6%
CLV
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.