La Liga
03.09 · 22:00
· Finished
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
11.97
X4.01
24.65
4
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.02.
Picks on the match
4 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.01
medium
Over 25.5
1.78
high
Under 5.5
1.39
low
Over 10.5
2.88
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
25%
Fouls over/under: Over 25.5
1 author
25%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
25%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
1 author
25%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 23.5
Fouls over/under
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
2.64
edge
+18%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.01.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
19.10.25
1:1
Under 2.5
13.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
21.12.24
0:2
Under 2.5