Birmingham
vs
Southampton
Loss
01.09 · 22:00
The author’s pick
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
Odds
2.80
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.80 did not come in
−2 000
settlement →
Reasoning
retroactive · no timestampComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 38.3%, while odds of 2.80 price in 35.7%. Value edge +2.6%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.
Line snapshot
reference — Betanoopening
2.80
the line when trading opened
publication
2.80
snapshot saved
close
2.50
CLV +12.00%
The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
August 31, 2026 19:00
Publication is closed
September 1, 2026 19:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
September 1, 2026 19:00
Result settled
from the match result
+3600
Upside
if it wins
-2000
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−2 000
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.80 did not come in
−2 000
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
55.6%
accuracy
-0%
ROI
1.85
average odds
+1.2%
CLV
TheAnalyticC model
activeCorner totals
free
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.