Championship
01.09 · 22:00
· Finished
Birmingham
1 : 1
Southampton
12.82
X3.6
22.65
2
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.84.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.88
medium
Over 11.5
2.80
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.1%
exp. goals
2.76
edge
-3.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
29.12.25
1:1
Under 2.5
06.12.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
02.03.24
3:4
Over 2.5 won
28.10.23
1:3
Over 2.5 won