Home / Matches / Red Bull Salzburg — Rapid Vienna / Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
TheAnalyticK model
TheAnalyticK model model
ROI +10.9% · 91 picks · since September 2026
Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Loss 02.09 · 21:30
The author’s pick
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
Odds
1.84
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result Loss stake 2 000 lost · odds of 1.84 did not come in −2 000 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive · no timestamp

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 56.1%, while odds of 1.84 price in 54.3%. Value edge +1.8%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — 1xBet
opening
1.84
the line when trading opened
publication
1.84
snapshot saved
close
1.86
CLV -1.08%
The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Loss
Pick published September 1, 2026 18:30
Publication is closed September 2, 2026 18:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off September 2, 2026 18:30
Result settled from the match result
+1680 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
−2 000 Result deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome Loss stake 2 000 lost · odds of 1.84 did not come in
−2 000 deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
76.5%
accuracy
+10.9%
ROI
1.48
average odds
+1.1%
CLV

TheAnalyticK model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.