Home / Matches / Shimizu S-pulse — FC Tokyo / Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
TheAnalyticK model
TheAnalyticK model model
ROI +10.9% · 91 picks · since September 2026
Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo
J1 League
Awaiting settlement 02.09 · 13:00
The author’s pick
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
Odds
2.10
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Awaiting settlement stake 2 000 × odds 2.10 = 4 200 if it wins settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 49.7%, while odds of 2.10 price in 47.6%. Value edge +2.1%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — 1xBet
opening
2.10
the line when trading opened
publication
2.10
snapshot saved
close
2.10
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Awaiting settlement
Pick published September 2, 2026 06:00
Publication is closed September 2, 2026 10:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off September 2, 2026 10:00
Result settled waiting for the match to finish
+2200 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
Result awaiting settlement
Pick outcome Awaiting settlement stake 2 000 × odds 2.10 = 4 200 if it wins
bankroll unchanged
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
76.5%
accuracy
+10.9%
ROI
1.48
average odds
+1.1%
CLV

TheAnalyticK model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.