Primeira Liga
30.08 · 17:30
· Finished
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela
12.41
X3.3
23.23
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.42.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.42
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.6%
exp. goals
2.32
edge
+4.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.07.26
0:2
Under 2.5
04.04.26
2:0
Under 2.5
09.11.25
1:1
Under 2.5
06.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5