La Liga
30.08 · 18:00
· Finished
Real Madrid
4 : 0
Malaga
11.1
X13.9
234
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.79.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
2.14
low
Under 11.5
1.44
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.7%
exp. goals
3.02
edge
-13.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.