Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.1%
exp. goals
2.82
edge
-6.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.02.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
0:2
Under 2.5
24.04.25
4:1
Over 2.5 won
27.01.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won