Home / Matches / PAOK — OFI / Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
TheAnalyticD model
TheAnalyticD model model
ROI -6.4% · 858 picks · since August 2026
PAOK vs OFI
Cup
Win 02.09 · 22:15
The author’s pick
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
Odds
2.63
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Win stake 2 000 × odds 2.63 = 5 260 → net +3 260 +3 260 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive · no timestamp

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 40.7%, while odds of 2.63 price in 38.0%. Value edge +2.7%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — Betfair
opening
2.63
the line when trading opened
publication
2.63
snapshot saved
close
2.63
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Win
Pick published September 1, 2026 19:15
Publication is closed September 2, 2026 19:15 · at kick-off
Kick-off September 2, 2026 19:15
Result settled from the match result
+3260 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
+3 260 Result credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome Win stake 2 000 × odds 2.63 = 5 260 → net +3 260
+3 260 credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
45.1%
accuracy
-5.7%
ROI
2.20
average odds
+0.8%
CLV

TheAnalyticD model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.