TheAnalyticD model
TheAnalyticD model model
ROI -6.4% · 858 picks · since August 2026
Chippenham Town vs Berkhamsted
Non League Premier - Southern South
Win 29.08 · 17:00
The author’s pick
Match result: 2
Odds
2.84
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Win stake 2 000 × odds 2.84 = 5 680 → net +3 680 +3 680 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive · no timestamp

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 36.7%, while odds of 2.84 price in 35.2%. Value edge +1.5%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — 1xBet
opening
2.84
the line when trading opened
publication
2.84
snapshot saved
close
2.84
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Win
Pick published August 28, 2026 14:00
Publication is closed August 29, 2026 14:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off August 29, 2026 14:00
Result settled from the match result
+3680 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
+3 680 Result credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome Win stake 2 000 × odds 2.84 = 5 680 → net +3 680
+3 680 credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
45.1%
accuracy
-5.7%
ROI
2.20
average odds
+0.8%
CLV

TheAnalyticD model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.