Toronto FC
vs
Chicago Fire
Loss
06.09 · 02:30
The author’s pick
Match result: 2
Odds
2.28
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 1 416 lost · odds of 2.28 did not come in
−1 416
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 19:30 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 45.2%, while odds of 2.28 price in 43.9%. Value edge +1.3%.
Line snapshot
reference — Pinnacleopening
2.25
the line when trading opened
publication
2.28
snapshot saved
now
2.33
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 19:30
Publication is closed
Yesterday 23:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 23:30
Result settled
from the match result
+1812.73
Upside
if it wins
-1416.27
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−1 416
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 1 416 lost · odds of 2.28 did not come in
−1 416
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
50.8%
accuracy
+5.1%
ROI
2.07
average odds
+1.5%
CLV
TheAnalyticF model
activeMatch result
free
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.