Home / Matches / Naftagas — Metalac GM / Match result: 1
TheAnalyticF model
TheAnalyticF model model
ROI +6.9% · 200 picks · since September 2026
Naftagas vs Metalac GM
Prva Liga
Loss 05.09 · 17:00
The author’s pick
Match result: 1
Odds
1.99
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Loss stake 1 590 lost · odds of 1.99 did not come in −1 590 settlement →

Reasoning

locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changed

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 54.0%, while odds of 1.99 price in 50.3%. Value edge +3.7%.

Line snapshot

reference — 1xBet
opening
1.99
the line when trading opened
publication
1.99
snapshot saved
now
1.98
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Loss
Pick published Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed Yesterday 14:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off Yesterday 14:00
Result settled from the match result
+1573.36 Upside if it wins
-1589.64 Risk 2% of the bankroll
−1 590 Result deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome Loss stake 1 590 lost · odds of 1.99 did not come in
−1 590 deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
51.3%
accuracy
+5.6%
ROI
2.07
average odds
+1.5%
CLV

TheAnalyticF model

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Match result
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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.