Home / Matches / Chelsea W — Aston Villa W / Corners over/under: Over 10.5
TheAnalyticC model
TheAnalyticC model model
ROI -0% · 368 picks · since September 2026
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W
FA WSL
Awaiting settlement 05.09 · 14:35
The author’s pick
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
Odds
1.99
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result Awaiting settlement stake 2 405 × odds 1.99 = 4 785 if it wins settlement →

Reasoning

locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changed

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 52.0%, while odds of 1.99 price in 50.3%. Value edge +1.7%.

Line snapshot

reference — Pinnacle
opening
1.99
the line when trading opened
publication
1.99
snapshot saved
now
1.99
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Awaiting settlement
Pick published Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed Yesterday 11:35 · at kick-off
Kick-off Yesterday 11:35
Result settled waiting for the match to finish
+2380.47 Upside if it wins
-2404.53 Risk 2% of the bankroll
Result awaiting settlement
Pick outcome Awaiting settlement stake 2 405 × odds 1.99 = 4 785 if it wins
bankroll unchanged
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
55.6%
accuracy
-0%
ROI
1.85
average odds
+1.2%
CLV

TheAnalyticC model

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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.