Monagas II
vs
Aragua FC
Loss
05.09 · 22:30
The author’s pick
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
Odds
1.62
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 1 151 lost · odds of 1.62 did not come in
−1 151
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 63.1%, while odds of 1.62 price in 61.7%. Value edge +1.4%.
Line snapshot
reference — Bet365opening
1.62
the line when trading opened
publication
1.62
snapshot saved
now
1.85
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed
Yesterday 19:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 19:30
Result settled
from the match result
+713.94
Upside
if it wins
-1151.06
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−1 151
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 1 151 lost · odds of 1.62 did not come in
−1 151
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
54.7%
accuracy
+0.1%
ROI
1.92
average odds
+1.8%
CLV
TheAnalyticT model
activeGoal totals
free
Log in and subscribe
0 subscribers · one-click cancellation
How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.