Home / Matches / FC Bocholt — Sportfreunde Siegen / Total goals (match): Over 3.5
TheAnalyticT model
TheAnalyticT model model
ROI +0.9% · 631 picks · since September 2026
FC Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Siegen
Regionalliga - West
Win 05.09 · 15:00
The author’s pick
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
Odds
2.14
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result Win stake 2 068 × odds 2.14 = 4 425 → net +2 357 +2 357 settlement →

Reasoning

locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changed

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 48.3%, while odds of 2.14 price in 46.7%. Value edge +1.6%.

Line snapshot

reference — Pinnacle
opening
2.17
the line when trading opened
publication
2.14
snapshot saved
now
2.14
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Win
Pick published Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed Yesterday 12:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off Yesterday 12:00
Result settled from the match result
+2357.05 Upside if it wins
-2067.95 Risk 2% of the bankroll
+2 357 Result credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome Win stake 2 068 × odds 2.14 = 4 425 → net +2 357
+2 357 credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
54.7%
accuracy
+0.1%
ROI
1.92
average odds
+1.8%
CLV

TheAnalyticT model

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Goal totals
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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.