Criciuma
vs
Cuiaba
Loss
05.09 · 01:30
The author’s pick
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
Odds
2.75
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.75 did not come in
−2 000
settlement →
Reasoning
retroactiveComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 37.1%, while odds of 2.75 price in 36.4%. Value edge +0.7%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.
Line snapshot
reference — Pinnacleopening
2.75
the line when trading opened
publication
2.75
snapshot saved
close
2.89
CLV -4.84%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
September 4, 2026 06:15
Publication is closed
September 4, 2026 22:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off
September 4, 2026 22:30
Result settled
from the match result
+3500
Upside
if it wins
-2000
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−2 000
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.75 did not come in
−2 000
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
54.7%
accuracy
+0.1%
ROI
1.92
average odds
+1.8%
CLV
TheAnalyticT model
activeGoal totals
free
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.