Felgueiras U23
vs
Estoril U23
Loss
01.09 · 19:00
The author’s pick
Match result: 2
Odds
2.27
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.27 did not come in
−2 000
settlement →
Reasoning
retroactiveComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 45.2%, while odds of 2.27 price in 44.1%. Value edge +1.1%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.
Line snapshot
reference — Dafabetopening
2.27
the line when trading opened
publication
2.27
snapshot saved
close
2.43
CLV -6.58%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
September 1, 2026 15:30
Publication is closed
September 1, 2026 16:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
September 1, 2026 16:00
Result settled
from the match result
+2540
Upside
if it wins
-2000
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−2 000
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.27 did not come in
−2 000
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
51.3%
accuracy
+5.6%
ROI
2.07
average odds
+1.5%
CLV
TheAnalyticF model
activeMatch result
free
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.