Home / Matches / Umeå FC — Vasalund / Match result: 2
TheAnalyticX model
TheAnalyticX model model
ROI -4.4% · 347 picks · since September 2026
Umeå FC vs Vasalund
Ettan - Norra
Loss 30.08 · 14:45
The author’s pick
Match result: 2
Odds
2.75
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Loss stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.75 did not come in −2 000 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 38.1%, while odds of 2.75 price in 36.4%. Value edge +1.7%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — Unibet
opening
2.75
the line when trading opened
publication
2.75
snapshot saved
close
2.75
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Loss
Pick published August 30, 2026 06:30
Publication is closed August 30, 2026 11:45 · at kick-off
Kick-off August 30, 2026 11:45
Result settled from the match result
+3500 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
−2 000 Result deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome Loss stake 2 000 lost · odds of 2.75 did not come in
−2 000 deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
42.3%
accuracy
-4.2%
ROI
2.38
average odds
+1.1%
CLV

TheAnalyticX model

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Match result
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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.