TheAnalyticF model
TheAnalyticF model model
ROI +6.3% · 200 picks · since September 2026
North Carolina Courage W vs Angel City W
NWSL Women
Win 27.08 · 03:00
The author’s pick
Match result: 1
Odds
1.94
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Medium
Result Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.94 = 3 880 → net +1 880 +1 880 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 53.7%, while odds of 1.94 price in 51.5%. Value edge +2.2%. The estimate was computed before kick-off — verified against the source timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — Pinnacle
opening
1.94
the line when trading opened
publication
1.94
snapshot saved
close
1.94
CLV 0.00%
The pick was restored: the model estimate behind it was computed before kick-off — verified against its timestamp — and the odds are taken from the opening line. It was not published in real time: the verifier was not running yet.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Win
Pick published August 26, 2026 23:00
Publication is closed August 27, 2026 00:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off August 27, 2026 00:00
Result settled from the match result
+1880 Upside if it wins
-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll
+1 880 Result credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.94 = 3 880 → net +1 880
+1 880 credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest
51%
accuracy
+5.3%
ROI
2.07
average odds
+1.5%
CLV

TheAnalyticF model

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Match result
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How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.