Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.5%
exp. goals
2.91
edge
-2.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
05.09.26
1:1
Under 2.5
25.11.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
06.09.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
12.08.25
0:1
Under 2.5