Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.9%
exp. goals
2.98
edge
-0.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
05.09.26
1:1
Under 2.5
27.01.24
0:1
Under 2.5
12.08.23
2:4
Over 2.5 won
15.04.23
1:1
Under 2.5