Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.3%
exp. goals
2.97
edge
-4.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.04.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
02.11.25
0:2
Under 2.5
20.02.25
1:1
Under 2.5
06.10.24
1:1
Under 2.5