Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.4%
exp. goals
2.73
edge
-12.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
23.02.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
24.11.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
15.09.25
4:2
Over 2.5 won