Primera Division
04.09 · 02:00
· Finished
Managua
3 : 3
Diriangén
12.52
X3.42
23.12
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.00.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.00
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.4%
exp. goals
2.59
edge
-3.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
23.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
21.12.25
0:1
Under 2.5
14.12.25
0:0
Under 2.5