Primera Division
03.09 · 01:00
· Finished
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
11.78
X3.74
24.4
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.75.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.75
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
2.79
edge
+0.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.04.26
4:3
Over 2.5 won
19.02.26
2:0
Under 2.5
07.11.25
4:0
Over 2.5 won
01.09.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won