Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
2.47
edge
+0.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
05.03.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
01.02.26
1:0
Under 2.5
06.10.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
27.07.25
2:4
Over 2.5 won