FA Cup
04.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Flackwell Heath
0 : 1
Hanwell Town
13.95
X4.2
21.83
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.38.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.38
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
2.52
edge
-8.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.